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Private Saving Rates and Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Spanish Regional Data


 
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1. Title Title of document Private Saving Rates and Macroeconomic Uncertainty: Evidence from Spanish Regional Data
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Roberto Bande; GAME-IDEGA, University of Santiago de Compostela
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Dolores Riveiro; GAME-IDEGA, University of Santiago de Compostela
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) saving rates; macroeconomics; Spain
 
4. Description Abstract The aftermath of the recent financial crisis has been followed by increasing saving rates, which may well reflect precautionary behaviour of households. In spite of a broad agreement on the theoretical implications of uncertainty on saving rates, empirical work has not yet reached a consensus on which is the most reliable measure of uncertainty. In this paper we empirically test the precautionary saving theory and explore different measures of macroeconomic uncertainty, using Spanish regional data for the period 1980-2007. Our results suggest that part of the recent increase in saving rates is related to a precautionary motive and that increased uncertainty causes greater savings rates. Moreover, our results also suggest that, in Spain, the unemployment rate is a relevant variable as a measure of future income uncertainty.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location
 
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7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2013-09-26
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://www.esr.ie/article/view/75
 
11. Source Title; vol., no. (year) The Economic and Social Review; Vol 44, No 3, Autumn (2013)
 
12. Language English=en en
 
13. Relation Supp. Files
 
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15. Rights Copyright and permissions Copyright (c) 2015 The Economic and Social Review