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Searching for the Inclusive Growth Tax Grail: The Distributional Impact of Growth Enhancing Tax Reform in Ireland


 
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1. Title Title of document Searching for the Inclusive Growth Tax Grail: The Distributional Impact of Growth Enhancing Tax Reform in Ireland
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Brendan O'Connor; Department of Finance, Dublin; Ireland
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Terence Hynes; Department of Finance, Dublin; Ireland
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country David Haugh; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris; France
 
2. Creator Author's name, affiliation, country Patrick Lenain; Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris; France
 
3. Subject Discipline(s)
 
3. Subject Keyword(s) tax reform; Ireland; economic modelling
 
4. Description Abstract The economic literature suggests that a revenue-neutral shift of tax revenues from income taxes to property taxes would increase GDP per capita in the medium term. This paper analyses for Ireland the consequences of such a shift in the tax mix. In particular, it examines whether this can be carried out in a way that would neither undermine income distribution nor depress government revenue. Simulations using the ESRI tax-benefit model, SWITCH, suggest it is possible to achieve such a broadly revenue-neutral tax shift in a non-regressive way, while lowering marginal tax rates for most taxpayers. In particular, reductions in the Universal Social Charge would reduce marginal and average tax rates and have a positive impact for the income of most households. This could be funded by shifting the tax base toward residential properties, though this might have an adverse effect on income distribution, due to Ireland’s high rates of home ownership throughout the income distribution. The analysis shows that low income groups could be protected through the careful introduction of income-related supports, with revenue losses recovered through a more progressive property tax rate structure. Overall, the simulations show that a shift from labour to property tax can be pro-growth and pro-employment, without equity losses. The paper therefore suggests that tax reform can be inclusive.
 
5. Publisher Organizing agency, location
 
6. Contributor Sponsor(s)
 
7. Date (YYYY-MM-DD) 2016-03-31
 
8. Type Status & genre Peer-reviewed Article
 
8. Type Type
 
9. Format File format PDF
 
10. Identifier Uniform Resource Identifier http://www.esr.ie/article/view/509
 
11. Source Title; vol., no. (year) The Economic and Social Review; Vol 47, No 1, Spring (2016)
 
12. Language English=en en
 
13. Relation Supp. Files
 
14. Coverage Geo-spatial location, chronological period, research sample (gender, age, etc.)
 
15. Rights Copyright and permissions Copyright (c) 2016 The Economic and Social Review